Service Plays Sunday 8/8/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL NEWS AND NOTES
Letters From Camp: Notes on Dallas and Cincinnati

CINCINNATI BENGALS

The Bengals made the playoffs last season, thanks in large part to a rushing game. Then they spent the offseason upgrading the passing attack, hoping a well-rounded offense means a longer trip into the postseason.

Many of those upgrades came at the receiver position and include Antonio Bryant, Matt Jones, Jordan Shipley, and tight end Jermaine Gresham. Not to mention Terrell Owens, who signed a one-year deal with the team and seems to be a shoo-in to start opposite Chad Ochocinco. How will QB Carson Palmer mix with the new talent?

Elsewhere on offense, the play of what became a thin interior line after Jason Shirley was placed on the season-ending non-football injury list last week will bear watching. Andre Smith, last year’s first-round tackle, also needs to show that he’s healthy and ready to play.

Cincinnati has some notable secondary newcomers – safety Gibril Wilson, promising third-round rookie corner Brandon Ghee, and even, Adam “Pacman” Jones – as well as a potential impact pass rusher in second- round pick Carlos Dunlap.

Dunlap and Robert Geathers, who missed the final six games of 2010 with a knee injury, will lead the effort to improve the pass rush.

DRAFT PICKS: TE Jermaine Gresham, DE Carlos Dunlap, WR Jordan Shipley, CB Brandon Ghee, DT Geno Atkins, LB Roddrick Muckelroy, WR Dezmon Briscoe, OL Reggie Stephens.

REPORT DATE/PLACE: July 28, Georgetown College, Georgetown, Kentucky

KEY CAMP QUESTION: Can Cincinnati’s revamped passing attack work?

FUTURES ODDS: 25-1 to win Super Bowl.

PRESEASON SCHEDULE:
August 8 at Dallas
August 15 Denver
August 20 Philadelphia
August 28 at Buffalo
September 2 at Indianapolis

DALLAS COWBOYS

As with anything dealing with the Dallas Cowboys, Training Camp 2010 will have a little bit of drama,
At least this time around it will involve position battles.

The left tackle spot is worth watching, since Doug Free is being asked to switch to the left side to replace the released Flozell Adams. The team dealt for ex-Rams first-round flame-out Alex Barron in order to push Free.

Skill position-wise, Dallas is going to have to figure out how to divide carries among a bevy of backs that includes stars Marion Barber, Felix Jones and Tashard Choice. The wide receiver position isn’t much different as the recently signed rookie Dez Bryant will work to fit in with Miles Austin, Roy Williams and Patrick Crayton.

Defensively, Wade Phillips’ group is pretty much set. The biggest question is at free safety, where Mike Hamlin, Alan Ball, and Pat Watkins could all factor in. Hamlin, a 2009 fifth-round pick out of Clemson, is viewed as the favorite.

DRAFT PICKS: WR Dez Bryant, LB Sean Lee, S Akwasi Owusu-Ansah, OT Sam Young, CB Jamar Wall, DE Sean Lissemore.

REPORT DATE/PLACE: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas.

KEY CAMP QUESTION: How will Cowboys keep high-profile players like Barber, Jones and Choice and Bryant, Austin, Williams and Crayton happy at the skills positions?

FUTURES ODDS: 8-1 to win Super Bowl.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL NEWS AND NOTES
Hall of Fame Game: What Bettors Need to Know

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Dallas Cowboys (+2.5, 32.5)

As preseason games go, it usually doesn’t get much better than the Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio.

Hear us out.

For starters, it’s live action, some seven months after the Super Bowl champion was crowned. That alone attracts fans and bettors alike, especially when the sports world is suffering through the Dog Days of August.

But, more times than not, the NFL — and nowadays, NBC, which is along for the ride — concocts a decent matchup. Whether it’s public teams, or teams with new, marketable players, the league usually gets it right when scheduling this tilt.

This year? No different. You have the Cowboys, still very much America’s Team, with stars and upside galore after a rare playoff victory. And you have the Bengals, always a decent draw in the Marvin Lewis Era, and now they even have Terrell Owens as the cherry on top.

“It’s a good thing,” Lewis said, “to play in a nationally televised game.”

We — the starving football public — agree, Marvin. So, without further adieu, let’s break down the open of what will be a seven-month marathon.

WILL THE STARS COME OUT?

Yes, but not for long. Let’s face it, the Bengals did not sign Owens to sit him during a period where he must get himself prepared for the long haul.

Plus, with a national audience, and the league, and his former teams — including the one across the sideline — watching, you can bet Owens wants the face time.

“They’ll play some in the first quarter,” Lewis said of the starters. “And then we’ll play most of the other guys.”

Expect the same from the Cowboys, who will quickly iron out some kinks on offense and then allow Tony Romo to wear the fitted baseball cap backwards on the sideline. During practice this week, in fact, Dallas coach Wade Phillips said a perfect scenario might just be “eight plays” for the starters.

“Our first group will play. The number of plays is the key,” he said. “I'd rather not have three three-and-outs. I just want to give them a feel for playing.”

WHO WANTS IT MORE?

Once it becomes garbage time, it comes down to who has more talented reserves, and quite frankly, who wants to win?

Conventional thinking might lean toward the Bengals:

* They’re playing in their home state, and plenty of fans will make the trip.

* They will not have to travel as far as the Cowboys.

* They have to be eager to wipe away the memory of losing at home to the Jets in the Wild-Card Round, 24-14.

“This is our first chance to play against guys in other colored helmets, and the timing is good,” Lewis said. “It’s a good opportunity, and I’ve said this since we decided to take on the game.”

SPEAK OF THE SPREAD

The line opened at Dallas -1, which is not surprising. The Cowboys made it to the Divisional Round — one week longer than Cincinnati did — last year, and clearly have their sights set on bigger things.

It looks like the books that opened an early line on this game got caught by sharp Bengals money and quickly adjusted.

A little T.O. magic — and the fact that the nation is eager to see him paired up with Chad Ochocinco — has given the Bengals a little mojo here as well. Despite a Dallas 58-42 edge in betting percentage (according to Covers Consensus Picks), the line has surprisingly shifted to Cincinnati -3.

FACTS AND TRENDS

The Cowboys are 5-7 against the spread in the preseason under Phillips. The team is also just 1-2 in its first preseason game of the season under Phillips and that cover came in the former defensive coordinator’s first game as Dallas’ head coach.

The over has been a better Cowboy bet under the silver-haired, pudgy coach. Dallas has played over the total in eight of their 12 preseason games under Phillips.

Cowboys blogger Gerry Fraley points out the ‘Boys spent a good portion of their first two weeks in camp practicing their red-zone offense. Could we see Phillips going for it on fourth down if his team is close by the painted grass?

Cincinnati is 12-7-1 ATS in the preseason since 2006 (3-1 in their first game) and 24-22-2 in August under Lewis.

Favorites are 2-1-1 the last four Hall of Fame Games.​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Sunday’s Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

R.A. Dickey (7-4, 2.36 ERA), New York Mets

Who’s the Mets most consistent starting pitcher? Johan Santana? Mike Pelfrey? Guess again. It’s the 35-year-old knuckleballer at the end of the rotation.

The Mets are 2-0 in his last two outings but they’ve failed to take advantage of a number of Dickey’s quality starts because of a lack of run support.

New York is averaging just 1.8 runs in Dickey’s last six appearances. The under is 6-0 over that period.

Jeremy Guthrie (5-11, 4.21 ERA), Baltimore Orioles

Guthrie is on a modest little streak right now. The 31-year-old righty is 2-1 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.94 WHIP (walks + hits per inning) over his last four starts.

Not surprising, the under is also 4-0 in those four games.

Trevor Cahill (11-4, 2.72 ERA), Oakland Athletics

Oakland’s ace is on a 17-inning shutout streak. Cahill pitched a complete game shutout against the Royals in his last start and held the hard-hitting Rangers off the scoreboard in eight innings of work in the start before.

"The sinker is the key to my success all the time," Cahill told the Associated Press following his three-hitter performance against the Royals. "I was able to keep it down in the zone. I walked a few guys but I also caught a break and got the double plays."

The A’s are 8-2 in Cahill’s last 10 outings and they were underdogs in four of those games.

Slumping

Derek Lowe (10-9, 4.44 ERA), Atlanta Braves

Look, it’s the year of the pitcher and that means finding a hurler in bad form is like trying to find a straight guy at an ABBA concert. So apologies to Lowe because he’s not dealing duds every time he toes the rubber.

The former Dodger allowed one run and no walks in six innings in his last start. But the final outcome wasn’t a good one for the Braves, something that’s been happening way too often when Lowe takes the hill.

Atlanta is just 1-7 in Lowe’s last eight appearances, and the NL East-leading club was the favorite in six of those games.​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Sunday's Best MLB Bets

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays (+112, 8.5)

How do you guarantee yourself another start in the Major Leagues? Hit the hell out of the baseball.

That’s just what Toronto rookie catcher J.P. Arencibia did in his MLB debut on Saturday, smashing the poor white ball four times in five at-bats, driving in three on a pair of home runs and adding three runs scored and a double. Not a bad way to start your career, especially on a team looking to put together a second-half run.

"J.P. had a heck of a day, one that he can go back and tell his grandkids about," Blue Jays manager Cito Gaston told the Associated Press. "I don't know if anyone would believe it though."

But most people wouldn’t believe the Toronto offense, which cranked eight home runs in a 17-11 win over the Tampa Bay Rays. The eight ding-dongs are the most by a team in one game since the Yankees smashed eight gopher balls in a 16-3 win over the White Sox in 2007.

So can the Blue Jays keep it up? Sure. The Rays have lost a season-high four straight and are without big bopper Carlos Pena. Meantime, the Blue Jays have won 18 of their past 26 games against Tampa Bay and four of five overall.

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays


Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles (+117, 8.5)

What happens when two pop-gun offenses meet? Try the under.

Chicago and the Orioles scored only three runs in the first game of their series and each have had the under hit at least five times in their past 10 games. For
the season, Chicago has a middling, 54-51-4 over/under mark, compared to a horrendous, 45-58-6 record for Baltimore.

The biggest reason for the teams seeing so many unders this year is mediocre offenses. The White Sox average a respectable 4.6 runs per game, but the Orioles are just dreadful, scoring just 3.6 times per game.

So now that we have a base of mediocre offense and terrible offense, let’s mix in White Sox ace Mark Buehrle (4.05 ERA) and Orioles ace Jeremy Guthrie (4.21 ERA). The hurlers have combined to see the under hit four times in their past six starts.

“Up and down the lineup, we’re moving the ball pretty well and facing some pretty good pitching and having to scrap a little bit,” White Sox outfielder Juan Pierre told ESPN Chicago. “Overall, the last couple weeks, we’ve been moving the ball good as a team.”

Pick: Under​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LADY LUCK

Sunday's Best WNBA Bets

New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx (+2, 154.5)

If you thought Minnesota rallying from a 16-point halftime deficit for an overtime win last night in Chicago was impressive, just wait till you see the odds against the Lynx winning less than 24 hours later.

Minnesota, which has won just 10 games all season, is on a three-game winning streak for only the second time this season and hasn’t won four in a row since May of 2008. The team also is just 3-7 in the second half of back-to-back games since the start of 2008, with one of those wins coming against lowly Tulsa this season.

"We have nine games left," rookie Monica Wright told the Lynx's official website. "So we definitely want to take advantage of them and we just want to end off on a good note."

Meantime, the Liberty, tied for third in the Eastern Conference, are a solid 7-7 on the road this season and have won five straight games, including a road-win against a tough Indiana team.

Minnesota beat New York in the team’s only matchup this season, 75-68, however the road-warrior Liberty are 7-2 ATS in the team’s past nine meetings in the Lynx’s gym.

Pick: NY Liberty


Indiana Fever at Phoenix Mercury (-4, 184.5)

Phoenix touts many offensive weapons, but none that can compare to the recent play of Indiana's Tamika Catchings.

The 6-foot-1, 167-pound forward is averaging 17.4 points, 6.7 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game as she has led the Fever to six wins in the team’s past 10 games. Catchings has posted at least 16 points in five straight games, including a season-high 30 points and eight rebounds in a 95-93 win over Atlanta.

"You looked in everybody's faces like, 'We're not going to lose this game tonight,'" Catchings, who also had three steals and three assists against the Dream, told the Associated Press. "Every game from here on out is going to be that playoff mentality. In the East, every game has been so close and the standings are so crucial for every team."

The Mercury have won four straight and eight of 10, but struggle against the Fever in Phoenix. Indiana is a sterling 7-1 ATS in the team’s past eight trips to the desert, including seeing the under hit in seven of 10 matchups.

Pick: Indiana Fever​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher

CHIW (-130) over BAL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GREEK SPORTS PICKS

Bonus Plays:
A's -115
Bos/NY over 9

Premium Plays:
Twins -148
Red's -130

Premium Nfl Play:
Bengals -2.5

 

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BPO SPORTS-HKC

4* Texas Rangers +108
4* Boston Red Sox +125

 

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MONEYLINE KING

3 UNIT Athletics

 

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SEABASS

100* Bengals

 

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GAMBLERS DATA
Bengals -3

 

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SPORTRENDS

Take Minnesota W/Duensing over Cleveland W/Huff NO PLAY if < -145 or > -175

 

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"Bulgarian Paid service" 165-134.5-1.5 (2-0)

IK Sleipner - Skövde AIK: 1 @1,90

Kalmar FF - Trelleborgs FF: 1 @ 1,65

Follo - Bodo/Glimt: 2 @ 1,90

 

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Betting Pros 7-4 (1-1)

Beijing Guoan v.s Barcelona - Back Barcelona (current odds = 1.38)

 

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THE ASIAN EXECUTIVE

Thank you for purchasing my football service. I have access to information and formulas that would cause bookies and Las Vegas to rethink their lines. My clients are #1 and I hope my customer service is rated A. Football units are 1 to 12. 1 unit is the smallest and 12 units being the largest as a Game of the Year.

Hall of Fame Game 8/08/2010
8 units Dallas +2.5

 

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THE PREZ

7* Nationals / Dodgers Under 8

 

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CAPPERS ACCESS
Bengals
Cardinals
Red Sox

 

[ugk]

SPORTS WAGERS

FLORIDA +1.02 over St. Louis

Jeff Suppan favored on the road is incorrect and once again we find the Cardinals overpriced. Suppan’s career has about seven weeks left in it and maybe less. If the Cardinals are fighting for a playoff spot in the last two weeks of the season you will not see him again unless it’s in a mop up role and there’s no chance of him pitching in the playoffs. Five-year ERA and xERA are trending in a straight line to oblivion. HR’s allowed has gone from acute to chronic. First half stats were on life support but Suppan gives you innings and always takes his turn, like it's a good thing. Incidentally, in his last five starts, Suppan had an ERA of 5.44 but had a strand rate of 80% with every bounce going his way. That strand rate is an unsustainable one and thus, ERA will be heading south. Sean West is young and he’s talented. West made his MLB debut after only 64 IP above High-A ball and that guarantees MLB growing pains, even for the best prospects and a best prospect he is. West is a 6’ 8” lefty with improving control and an outstanding minor league record in day games. In three day games this season covering 18 IP he went 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA and a BAA of 1.97. His major league numbers are unimpressive to say the least and that’s why Suppan is favored. However, this really has nothing to do with wagering on West but everything to do with playing against Suppan and the overpriced Cards. Play: Florida +1.02 (Risking 2 units).


San Francisco +1.24 over ATLANTA

Man, the Giants bats have gone silent in this series but it’s not like the Braves are seeing beach balls either. In fact, both of these teams offenses have been rather anemic in this series but the big difference here is that the Giants have a big edge on the mound. Jonathan Sanchez has wicked stuff. When he’s on his game he’s as tough to hit as any pitcher in the Majors. When he’s throwing strikes and getting ahead in the count, the opposition has almost no shot. In four of his last seven stats he’s allowed one run or less and is coming off a six-inning, three hit masterpiece over the Rockies in Colorado. Sanchez has 27 k’s in his last 17 innings and overall he has 133 in 128 IP. His only problem is a lack of control but again, when he’s a pooch he’s worth the risk because nobody has better stuff. Derek Lowe is a one-pitch pitcher. If his slider isn’t working he’s useless. Current Giants have faced Lowe for a combined 137 AB’s and they’re hitting .299 off him. Lowe has allowed nine runs over his last 16 frames and is an absolute stretch to make it past the sixth inning. In no way does he have an edge in this matchup, as he’s always a risk to blow up. Play: San Francisco +1.24 (Risking 2 units).


Colorado –1.01 over PITTSBURGH

First off, the Pirates are 22-53 against right-handed pitchers and they’ll face one here they’ve never seen. Esmil Rogers gets the call-up to fill in for Aaron Cook, who was placed on the DL after his last start. Rogers has limited major-league experience. He’s pitched just 33 innings and has appeared in 14 games with just two of those coming as a starter. However, they both came last season and now he’s a year older and a bit more refined. He certainly has the ability to strike players out, as his 28 K’s in 33 major league innings and 53 K’s in 61 minor league innings will attest to. His control is much better than when he was up last season and in fact, he only walked 19 batters in those 61 minor-league IP. Paul Maholm pitching for the Pirates should not be favored over anyone. This is bad marriage, as Maholm is garbage on a hill. He’s allowed 29 hits and 16 ER over his last 17 innings. Overall his WHIP is 1.52 and anything over 1.50 or close to 1.50 is screaming for trouble. The Rockies just saw him 10 days ago and knocked him out in the fifth inning after they scored their eighth run. Maholm’s BAA over the last two weeks is .436 and anytime we can lay anywhere near a penny against this guy it has to be considered a good wager. Play: Colorado –1.01 (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).


LOS ANGELES –1½ +1.17 over Washington

The only surprising thing about Jason Marquis getting the start here is that he’s not pitching for the Cardinals. Marquis is making his first start in four months after coming off the DL. In his first three starts of the year back in April, he allowed 20 runs and 18 hits in 8.1 innings. He walked six and struck out three and don’t expect a big turnaround. Marquis was a stiff before and nothing has changed. The Dodgers will score some runs and they’ll very likely score five or more. Meanwhile, Ted Lilly is well suited for this park. Actually Lilly is well suited for any park. He’s been one of the most consistently good pitchers this league has ever seen. All Lilly did in his Dodger debut was allow one run, two hits and no walks over seven innings of a 2-1 win over NL West-leading San Diego on Tuesday night. Expect more of the same here. Play: Los Angeles –1½ +1.17 (Risking 2 units).

 

[ugk]

THE VEGAS KILLERS
Nolan Fernandez

GOLDEN TICKET
3 UNIT Chicago White Sox ,(-128)

REGULAR PLAYS
1 UNIT Cincinnati Reds (-133)
1 UNIT Boston Red Sox (+125)........Bonus Play

NFL PRESEASON
2 UNIT Cincinnati Bengals (-3)